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Shining light on ‘shadow credit’– what is Buy-Now-Pay-Later and who uses it?

Gerry Gunner and James Waddell Buy-Now-Pay-Later (BNPL) is a relatively new form of consumer credit that you might have noticed as a payment option when shopping online or in person. However, there is...

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How do firms pass energy and food costs through the supply chain

Hela Mrabet and Jack Page The rise in commodity prices after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine had a direct and noticeable impact on consumers’ bills for energy and food. But firms also felt the brunt of...

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Profits in a time of inflation: some insights from recent and past energy...

Sophie Piton, Ivan Yotzov and Ed Manuel How have profits behaved in this context of sustained level of inflation? In part, the answer depends on how ‘profits’ are defined. Some broad measures suggest...

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Decoding the market for inflation risk

Saleem Bahaj, Robert Czech, Sitong Ding and Ricardo Reis Few topics captivate our attention like the enigma of inflation. Understanding where the market thinks inflation is headed is crucial for...

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Profit margins and firm price growth: evidence from the Decision Maker Panel

Ivan Yotzov, Philip Bunn, Nicholas Bloom, Paul Mizen and Gregory Thwaites Inflation in 2023 remains elevated across many advanced economies. Existing studies have considered the contribution of...

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Unifying monetary and macroprudential policy

Julia Giese, Michael McLeay, David Aikman and Sujit Kapadia Central banks have been using a range of monetary policy and macroprudential tools to maintain monetary and financial stability. But when...

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Beyond emissions: the interplay of macroprudential regulation and climate policy

Francesca Diluiso, Barbara Annicchiarico and Marco Carli While climate change is often seen as a long-term concern, climate mitigation policies can have different short-term effects, since they affect...

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Forecasting UK inflation in the presence of large global shocks

Dario Bonciani and Johannes Fischer The UK economy has been hit by significant terms-of-trade shocks, most notably the rise in energy prices following the Russian invasion of Ukraine. These shocks...

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The transmission channels of geopolitical risk

Samuel Smith and Marco Pinchetti Recent events in the Middle East, as well as Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, have sparked renewed interest in the consequences of geopolitical tensions for global...

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Three facts about the rising number of UK business exits

Jelle Barkema, Maren Froemel and Sophie Piton Record-high firm exits make headlines, but who are the firms going out of business? This post documents three facts about the rising number of...

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